The Garrett 1808 Quarter Eagle

I handled some very interesting coins at this year's Boston ANA show. One of the ones that I thought was the most interesting was the Garrett specimen of the 1808 quarter eagle; a coin that was both very rare from a numismatic standpoint and historic from the standpoint of its pedigree.

The 1808 quarter eagle is a one-year type with a mintage of only 2,710. It is actually a less rare coin that other quarter eagles of this era but it is famous due to its status as a one-year type and, along with the 1796 No Stars, it is probably the most famous and desirable issue.

I would estimate that there are around 100-125 examples known in all grades. When available, the 1808 quarter eagle tends to be in lower grades and examples with nice, original coloration are really rare. There are a few very choice pieces known, the finest of which is the ex Dr. Judd coin owned by a Dallas family and graded MS65 by PCGS. The second finest is a PCGS MS63 that was most recently sold as Stack's 11/08: 4176 (at $517,500). A few other Uncirculated pieces are known as well.

The Garrett 1808 quarter eagle has a great background. It was sold as Lot 742 in Bowers and Ruddy's famous Garrett I auction, held in March 1980, where it was graded "Extremely Fine-40." It sold for $30,000 which was a strong price for a circulated 1808 quarter eagle at the time. The Garrett family had obtained it from the collection of Dr. Edward Maris who was far more famous for his study of New Jersey copper coins than for his gold issues.

This coin next appears at auction as Bowers and Merena 10/04: 606 where it brought $80,500. It then sold for $94,875 as ANR 3/06: 1421. Two years later, it went for $103,500 as Lot 1894 in Heritage's 2008 ANA sale. I purchased it at the ANA at a private sealed bid sale.

The Garrett 1808 quarter eagle is now owned by a specialist in early quarter eagles who appreciates its originality and pedigree. My thanks to him for allowing me to handle this wonderful coin and for being able to share it with you.

Some Observations About the 2010 Boston ANA Show

To be perfectly frank, I hate coin show reports. I hate to write them. I hate to read them. I don't care what restaurants a dealer went to and what they ate and I don't really care that Dealer X spent this much money on those coins at the show. That said, I also know that the ANA is the show that everyone who didn't attend wants to know about. So, with these people in mind, I thought I'd share a few random observations about the ANA. On a scale of 1-10, I'd rate this show as a solid 6; possibly a 7. Overall, I'd say a was a tiny bit disappointed. I was expecting the show to be an 8 or a 9 because of the fact that it was the first ANA in Boston since 1982 and the fact that Boston is within a few hours of huge numbers of serious collectors.

I go to coin shows primarily to buy and from a buying standpoint I was reasonably pleased. I bought some great coins. These include an 1854-O double eagle in PCGS AU55, the Garrett specimen of the 1808 quarter eagle (graded AU53 by PCGS) and over fifty crusty original 19th century gold pieces, most of which have already found their way onto my website. I would have liked to buy more but, hey, that's what I say at every show; even when I'm wondering how I'm going to sell all the great coins I just bought. And, yes, this paragraph is self-promotion.

Attendance seemed good and the mood among dealers and collectors seemed upbeat and positive. I didn't have any little old ladies walk up to my table with a New England shilling in a cigar box (a fella can dream, can't he?) but I was fairly pleased at the number of fresh coins that I was able to purchase on the floor.

I participated in three auctions. The Stack's sale contained an interesting fresh deal of Liberty Head eagles and prices were amazing (more on this in a future blog). The Bowers and Merena sale was reasonably strong but prices were mainly reflective on the quality of the coins. In other words, nice coins brought good prices while schlock sold cheaply, if at all. The Heritage sale was strong although prices didn't seem as off the charts as in years past. With the exception of the eagles in the Stack's sale the coins brought basically what they were worth. That sounds trite but, in past ANA sales, many coins brought a lot (stress a lot) more than they were worth. A lot.

In the area of rare gold, I noticed some definite market trends. Early date (i.e., pre-1834) gold was almost non-existent. Even the low end, overpriced stragglers that had been overhanging the market seemed to have disappeared. I can't remember an ANA at which I saw fewer early gold coins nor a major show that I purchased fewer.

There was extremely strong demand for Type One double eagles. The coins that nearly everyone seemed to want were common and somewhat better dates in AU50 and up, especially in the $2,000-7,500 price range. Demand was also strong for interesting Type Ones in the $10,000-20,000 range. Its hard to say what demand was like for expensive, really great Type Ones as there were almost none to be seen at the show.

Branch mint gold also was in demand. I bought and sold a few interesting pieces of Dahlonega at the show and had quite a few people come to my table with specific wants. I searched through dozens of dealers' inventories in a Quest for Crust and was unable to find more than a handful of truly DWN-worthy coins.

Another area that suddenly seems strong is Carson City double eagles. I sold a number of interesting CC Twenties and was pleased at the prices they bought. I tried to buy an amazing 1872-CC in NGC MS62+ that was far and away the finest known for the date but was outbid despite figuring it for nearly six figures. Congratulations to whoever purchased this coin; it was sensational.

Off the subject of coins for a second. I hadn't been to Boston in about a decade and it was great to return. What a fantastic city. Great places to shop, small and compact with wonderful walking, fantastic architecture; my kind of place. I was able to leave the show early one day and went to the Gardner Museum. The Rembrandt self-portrait and the two Botticellis were breathtaking, to say the least.

So, another ANA show has come and gone. After nearly 30 years of ANA's, I don't feel the excitement that I used to but this is clearly THE show of the year and the 2010 edition was memorable.

San Francisco Double Eagles: A Date by Date Analysis Part Three

In 1877, a third type of double eagle was created when the reverse valuation was changed from TWENTY D to TWENTY DOLLARS. Liberty Head double eagles were produced with just one interruption (1886) from 1877 through 1907. This is a very easy series to complete as all thirty issues are readily available in the lower Uncirculated grades and many of the post-1890 date can even be found in Gem. I would recommend this series for beginning collectors or advanced collectors who are more interested in grade than absolute rarity. What follows is a date-by-date analysis of each issue.

1877-S: This is the most common Type Three San Francisco double eagle from the 1870’s. It is common in grades up to an including MS62. It becomes scarce in MS63 and is very rare in MS64 and above. Most are seen with good luster and nice color but heavily abraded surfaces. The finest known is Stack’s 1/09: 1420, graded MS65 by NGC, which set a record price for the date at $29,900.

1878-S: The 1878-S is scarcer than the 1877-S but it is still a fairly easy date to find in grades up to an including MS62. In MS63 it is rare and it is extremely rare above this. The finest that I have personally seen is the high end PCGS MS63, ex Heritage 9/06: 4139, which sold for a strong $23,000. This date is characterized by soft, frosty luster and heavy abrasions on the surfaces.

1879-S: This is easily the scarcest San Francisco Type Three double eagle from the 1870’s and it is one of the harder SF issues of this type to locate. It is scarce even in the lowest Uncirculated grades and it is very scarce in properly graded MS62. In MS63, the 1879-S is very rare and there is but one example graded better than this, a PCGS MS64, ex Heritage 9/07: 3851, which sold for an amazing $63,250. Virtually every known example is marred by excessive bagmarks and many have impaired luster as a result.

1880-S: The 1880-S is only marginally scarce in MS60 to MS61 but it becomes a hard date to find in properly graded MS62. It is rare in MS63 and very rare above this but there are a few very high quality pieces known. The best is a superb NGC MS66, ex Heritage 2004 ANA: 7626, which brought a hefty $92,000 and the second best is an NGC MS65, ex Bowers and Merena 2/06: 603 that was bid up to $54,625. These are the two best early date Type Three San Francisco double eagles that I have personally seen.

1881-S: The 1881-S is much more available in the MS60 to MS62 range than the 1879-S and 1880-S. It is only moderately scarce in MS62 but it becomes rare in MS63 and I have never seen one that graded higher than this. The best I am aware of are a small group of nice PCGS MS63 coins, the last of which to sell was Heritage 4/09: 2763 (at $17,250). As with all of the early S Mint Type Three issues, this date is characterized by good luster and color but heavy surface marks.

1882-S: Beginning with this issue, the Type Threes from San Francisco become more available in the lower Uncirculated grades. The 1882-S is very common through MS62 and slightly scarce in MS63. But it is very rare in properly graded MS64 and I am not aware of any Gems. The best I know of is ex Heritage 7/06: 1714; a PCGS MS63 that brought $23,000.

1883-S: The 1883-S is very common through MS63 but it becomes very rare in MS64 and it may not exist in Gem. This date is seen with good luster and color but is almost always very heavily abraded. There is a small group of properly graded MS64’s known and the last of these to sell was Heritage 1/10: 2261, graded by NGC, which realized $16,100.

1884-S: The 1884-S is among the more common SF double eagles from the 1880’s. It is easy to find in MS60 through MS63 but it is very scarce in properly graded MS64. In MS65 it is extremely rare and the only one I can recall having seen was a PCGS coin sold as Lot 2036 in Heritage’s 2007 ANA that brought a very strong $46,000. This is yet another date that is characterized by heavily abraded surfaces.

1885-S: The 1885-S is very common in grades up through and including MS63. It is moderately scarce in MS64 but it is extremely rare in MS65 and I’ve never seen a Gem. There is no clear-cut finest known example as many of the MS64’s are similar in quality.

1887-S: This is a “sleeper” date that is considerably rarer in terms of total known that the other SF issues from this era. It is slightly scarce in the MS60 to MS62 range, rare in MS63 and very rare above this. There are actually a few Gems known including the Eliasberg coin (which does not appear to have surfaces since it was sold in 1982) and Superior 6/97: 1566, graded MS65 by NGC.

1888-S: The 1888-S is the most common SF Type Three issue from this decade. It is very common through MS63 and it is scarce in MS64. I have never seen a Gem although I wouldn’t be surprised if one exists. Many of the MS64’s are similar in quality and there is no clear-cut finest known.

1889-S: This date is very common up to MS63. It is rare in properly graded MS64 and doesn’t appear to exist in full-blown Gem. There have been three PCGS MS64 examples to sell at auction since 2006 and they have realized $13,800, $17,825 and $18,400 respectively. 1890-S: The 1890-S is very similar in overall and grade rarity to the 1889-S. It becomes rare in properly graded MS64 and there is just one Gem (an MS65) at PCGS. There have been eight coins graded MS64 sold at auction since the beginning of the 21st century and the highest price realized is $13,800 set by Goldberg 2/07: 2560.

1891-S: The 1891-S is more common than the 1889-S and 1890-S. It is readily available in MS63 and is seen much more often in MS64 than these two other dates. I have never seen a Gem.

1892-S: The 1892-S is another date that is common in grades up to and including MS63. It is only moderately scarce in properly graded MS64 but it is extremely rare in Gem. The finest known is ex Bowers and Merena 3/09: 3978, graded MS66 by NGC, which brought a strong $46,000.

1893-S: This date is very common in MS63. It is scarcer in MS64 than the 1890-S through 1892-S double eagles and it is extremely rare in Gem with just one graded as such (an MS65) by PCGS. The highest prices realized at auction is $18,400 set by Heritage 6/06: 3808, graded MS64 by PCGS.

1894-S: The 1894-S is among the most common San Francisco double eagles. It is easy to find in Uncirculated through MS64 but it is extremely rare in Gem. The finest I am aware of is an NGC MS65, ex Stack’s 1/09: 1439, which sold for $19,550.

1895-S: This date is very common in MS63 and only marginally scarce in MS64. There are probably as many as ten to twelve Gems known but none finer than MS65. The best I have seen is ex Heritage 2007 ANA: 2040 that sold for $12,650; it was graded MS65 by NGC.

1896-S: The 1896-S is more common than the 1895-S. It is easy to locate in MS63 and even MS64’s are not really scarce. Gems are extremely rare. The finest known is an amazing PCGS MS67 that is ex Eliasberg: 996; it sold for $13,200 back in 1982.

1897-S: The 1897-S is similar in overall and high grade rarity to the 1895-S. Gems are extremely rare. There is a pair of PCGS MS67’s known. One is ex Superior 2/05: 3410 (at $60,375), Eliasberg: 998.

1898-S: This is the most common 19th century S mint double eagle by a fairly significant margin. It is the only 19th century Type Three issue from this mint that is available in MS65 for a reasonable sum. The finest known is a PCGS MS67 that is ex Bowers and Merena 3/04: 3263, Eliasberg: 1000.

1899-S: The 1899-S is very common through MS64 grades. In Gem, it is extremely rare with just three to five known. The best, by a huge margin, is a superb PCGS MS67 that is ex Eliasberg: 1002. It brought $16,500 back in 1982.

Aging Baby Boomers and Rare Gold Coin Prices

I recently received an email from a collector who asked what I thought were an extremely intelligent group of questions. In a nutshell, he asked the following. As boomers age, are we nearing a bubble in coin prices? At some point will the number of collectors with the financial means to collect rare gold decrease and will prices suffer accordingly? Go to any coin show and you will see a disturbing trend. The buyers of most “serious” coins (i.e., coins priced at $1,000 and above) are in their 50’s or 60’s and the dealers selling them these coins tend to be at least the same age, if not older. There are not many young collectors at shows and the number of “A” level dealers in their 20’s and 30’s can be counted on one hand. This spells trouble for the coin market, right?

I contend that the answer is not as obvious or as clear-cut as it would seem to be. I am a keen student of the history of the numismatic marketplace and, as far as I can tell, ever since coin collecting became popular in the United States (in the late 1850’s/early 1860’s) it’s been a hobby that mainly attracts older people. Think about it: coins are expensive and people in their 20’s and 30’s have never had enough discretionary income to be making impulsive non-essential purchase. When you are 27 years old, you are thinking about buying a house and saving money for your child’s education; not deciding what series of 19th century gold coin to specialize in.

But the world has changed in the last generation or two and wealth is no longer the exclusive province of the middle-aged and the mature. For the first time that I can remember I have a few good clients who are younger than I am and these collectors tend to be self-made entrepreneurs.

In the 1950’s, many collectors grew old at around the same time and the hobby was in a precarious spot. Lots of great collections were coming on the market at the same time and it seemed unlikely that these coins would be absorbed. For a while, prices were depressed and the short-term outlook of the market was gloomy. But along came the roll craze of the early to mid-1960’s and the market was suddenly reinvigorated by young collectors; some of who became famous dealers who are active to this day.

In the mid to late-1970’s the same trend was occurring. Collectors were graying and lots of coins were coming on the market. All of a sudden, precious metals prices began to boom and lots of new blood came into the market. Two decades later it was the State Quarter program that jumpstarted a moribund market. Again and again, we have seen cycles of demand in the coin market and when things appeared gloomy, something would happen that infused youth into the hobby.

The X factor in today’s market—and the future coin market(s)--is, of course, the Internet. Unlike in 1960 or 1980 or in 1990, it will be easier to replace this generation of graying numismatists with younger buyers due to the accessibility of information and the ease of purchasing rare coins on-line. And there is another factor that I believe will come into play as well: foreign buyers.

As is well-known, huge middle-class and upper-class populations are being created in China and India. These are countries with an interest in American culture and cultures that greatly prize gold. It is possible (not likely, but possible) that new markets for American gold coins could develop in these countries and this, of course, would greatly change the dynamic of the future coin market.

My guess is that some time in the next decade or so, we will see a significant change in the demographics of the coin market. Many of today’s “super-collectors” are going to be net sellers in a decade or so and it is certainly possible that prices at some point could drop in the short-term. But if this scenario occurs, I think it is highly possible that this dip will be short-lived and that a new generation of eager collectors will fill the void.

Revisiting The 1841 Quarter Eagle

A few years ago, I wrote a blog about 1841 quarter eagles that basically stated that the currently-accepted belief that all of the known examples were Proofs was wrong. After recently being able to examine no less than four 1841 quarter eagles at one time, I am now totally convinced that this issue exists in two distinct formats. Numismatic tradition states that the 1841 quarter eagle was struck only as a Proof. This has never made sense to me. With as many as 15-17 pieces known, why would the Mint have made so many Proofs in 1841 when virtually none were struck in any other year between 1842 and 1853? And why would most of the survivors be in such low grades (EF40 to AU50) when most of the Proof gold coins from the 1840's that still exist tend to be in reasonably high grades?

This enigma has become a semi-obsession of David Hall's and when you are the head of Collector's Universe/PCGS you can get things done. David was able to wrangle four different examples of the 1841 quarter eagle including a PR60 illustrated below. A few weeks ago, one of his security detail flew the four coins up to my office in Portland and I am now more convinced than ever that 1841 quarter eagles exist in two formats.

First, a few words about the Proofs. One of the main reasons that you can determine that a Proof 1841 quarter eagle actually is a Proof is that is “looks like one.” These coins are not weakly struck, nor is there any question about whether they have squared edges or incomplete reflectiveness to the fields. These coins look just like other Proof gold coins from the 1840's. They may have some mint-made flaws such as pits in the planchet or lintmarks but their appearance is not much different than Proofs from the latter part of the 19th century either.

There appear to be just three or four Proofs known. The finest is a PCGS PR64 owned by a prominent Texas collector that is ex Heritage 6/04: 6204 where it brought $253,000; it was earlier in the Eliasberg sale and it sold for $82,500 in October 1982. The second Proof is owned by a customer of mine and it is graded PR60 by PCGS. I purchased it out of Bass II in October 1999 and paid $110,000 for it. A third Proof is in the Smithsonian. I have not seen the coin in person but it has been confirmed by Jeff Garrett whose opinion I respect. A possible fourth Proof is the ex Davis-Graves coin that was last sold as Superior 2/91: 2664 at $66,000. This coin might be the piece that appears in the PCGS population report as a PR62.

When I recently examined the Eliasberg and Bass Proofs, I made the following observations about them. I’m certain they apply to the other one or two Proofs as well.

*Proof 1841 quarter eagles have fully reflective fields that look like Proofs should. They are not "semi-prooflike" or "mostly prooflike." They are Proofs, no ifs and or buts.

*On Proof 1841 quarter eagles, there is sharpness of strike on the curls below the ear of Liberty. This sharpness does not appear on business strikes.

*The texture on the face of Liberty is different on Proofs. This may be attributable to the fact that the luster pattern on the cheek has not yet been worn off as it has on circulated business strikes.

*The curls on the back of the neck have a bold, almost three-dimensional look on Proofs. On business strikes they are not as sharp.

*On the Proofs the edges are sharp and fully squared. They are not as sharp and clearly not fully squared on business strikes.

I can quickly summarize why I think the lower grade 1841 "proofs" are not proofs at all and were clearly produced as business strikes (but using the same dies as the Proofs).

First of all, logic dictates that there are just too many 1841 quarter eagles known for all these coins to be Proofs. The number of coins that I feel are real Proofs (three or four) is consistent with the number known for other Proof quarter eagles from the 1840's. It just doesn’t make sense that the Mint would have made 30 or so Proofs in 1841 but five or so (if that) in every other year during the 1840's. Could they have been struck for a special occasion? It's possible but I have always doubted this reason and until documentation is found that states that they were made to commemorate an event or to give to VIP's, I am skeptical at best.

Secondly, many of the surviving 1841 quarter eagles are very low grade; in the Fine to Extremely Fine range. I have never seen or heard of another Proof quarter eagle from the 1840's that was this impaired.

Thirdly—and I believe most importantly—the business strikes, while Prooflike, just don’t "look" like Proofs. The marks on them don't fall in the same pattern that you see on Impaired Proofs; i.e., they look like circulated business strikes. As I stated above, they are not as well struck as the unquestionable Proofs and lack the squared rims and bold central details that are found on the true Proofs. They just don’t look or "feel" like Proofs.

In my opinion, David Hall and PCGS are to be credited for bringing this issue out into the opinion. It will be interesting to see if PCGS starts categorizing 1841 quarter eagles as Proofs and circulation strikes/business strikes and it will be interesting to see if the market starts according a premium to the Proofs as there should be, given their greater rarity.

What Makes Certain Coins Popular--and Others Unpopular?

I often make buying decisions based on a coin's popularity. As an example, I will buy a coin like an 1839-O quarter eagle for stock because it is popular and I know it will sell. But I might pass on a rarer coin like an 1862-S quarter eagle because it is not a popular issue and it will be a harder coin to sell. This got me to to thinking: what makes one coin popular and another unpopular? Certain 20th century series are popular with collectors because of a strong nostalgia factor. I would imagine most of the collectors who focus on Lincoln Cents or Mercury Dimes remember collecting them as a kid and the sense of accomplishment that they get from completing a set is an act of closure that extinguishes the nightmares they felt as kids about filling those pesky 1909-S VDB Cent and 1916-D Dime holes.

The nostalgia factor does not really apply to gold given the fact that circulation for these coins ended in the early 1930's. There are certainly some collectors who can remember being given an Indian Head quarter eagle for the holidays by their grandparents or aunt and uncle. But I'm willing to bet that the majority of gold coin collectors are not working on a set of Charlotte half eagles because it rekindles pleasant childhood memories.

The word "promotion" gets a bad rap in numismatics. Yes, there are naughty promotions where worthless modern trinkets get hyped and sold to unsuspecting people for multiples of their true value. But in the better sense of the word, coin promotions can turn formerly unpopular series--like Type One Liberty Head double eagles--into popular ones. The key to a coin promotion is that it has to be sustained and it needs more market participants than the first wave to regenerate its initial success(es).

I mentioned the Type One double eagles series in the last paragraph. One of the most brilliant coin promotions of all time was the S.S. Central America.. The marketing group that owned the coins not only was able to sell them, they were able to generate enough new interest in this denomination that it impacted all Type Ones, not just the few dates that were included in the hoard.

A coin that is historic is always going to be popular. What represents "history" to be may not be what represents history to you. But I'm almost certain we can both agree that a gold coin produed in the 18th century--the first decade of the operations of the new U.S. Mint--is clearly historic. This is one reason why a coin like a 1795 half eagle or a 1799 eagle, while not truly "rare," is still always going to have a very high level of demand among collectors.

Other coins are historic due to numismatically significant factors. In the first paragraph I mentioned the 1839-O quarter eagle. This is a coin that is fairly common in lower grades yet I still really like the issue and will buy nearly any problem free example I can find. Why? It is a first year of issue coin, it is a one year type and it is a visually interesting issue in that it has the short-lived Classic Head design paired with the obverse placement of the mintmark. These factors give it broad appeal and it is one of the few New Orleans quarter eagles that would be of interest to a non-specialist.

Another factor that makes a coin popular or unpopular is its design. A coin like a High Relief is extremely popular because it is beautiful and its design appeals to virtually all collectors. "Plain Jane" coins like three cent nickels and liberty head nickels get little respect from collectors because, to be frank, they are not especially attractive designs.

There is an element of geography with certain types of coins that makes them popular. Dahlonega gold coinage has a large following in the Atlanta and North Georgia area due to having been produced in this part of the country. This isn't to say that a collector from New York City might not become a major collector of Dahlonega gold but the majority of interest in these coins tends to be in the south.

A factor in determining the popularity of a coin has to do with the availability of good reference material. Without tooting my own horn too loudly (OK, at least not blaring it...) I'd like to think that part of the reason that Southern branch mint gold is popular has to do with the fact that I have written easy to use basic reference guides that are updated every few years, inexpensive to purchase, readily available and easy to transport to coin shows and auctions. This might be a coincidence, but the two least popular 19th and early 20th century gold issues (Philadelphia and San Francisco mints) are the ones that I just happened to not have written books about. At least yet...

Size has become an important factor in making gold coins popular or unpopular. Double eagles are more popular than gold dollars mostly because they are much bigger. People like bigger coins and new collectors feel more justified in spending $3,000 for a big, hefty double eagle than they do for a small gold dollar. As the age of collectors continues to climb, it seems inevitable that even more people will shy away from small coins; if only because they will have trouble seeing them.

These popularity factors are just a few of the reasons why certain coins are popular and others are not. If you ask many collectors why they specialize in a certain area, the reason may be hard to determine. Often, these individuals collect "what they like" and there is no clearly definable reason; it's just a gut instinct that, say, tells them that they should focus on Proof gold dollars or Gem Saints. And that's the beauty of rare coin collecting.

How the Internet Has Changed the Rare Coin Market

The year was 1995. I can remember my wife Mary telling me that it was really important to establish a presence on the Internet; that it would be the future of the coin business. No way, I thought, people are still going to want to read print ads and receive mailed price lists. The Internet was slow and bulky and you could basically die of old age waiting for each coin image to come up on screen. Sixteen years later, it seems that, as usual, she was right and I was wrong. The Internet has, along with third party grading, changed the coin market like nothing else in history. Why has the Internet been so good for the coin market and what are some of the changes that it has wrought?

The best thing about the Internet for all hobbies has been the dissemination of information. 10 to 15 years ago, if you wanted information about rare coins you had to dig for it. You could open a Redbook and get mintage figures and you could find information about die varieties in various specialized books. But like the man behind the curtain in the Wizard of Oz, in the past, information was strictly controlled. If you were lucky, you were invited into the secret circle and given some of the information you needed. If you didn't know the secret handshake, you were pretty much on your own.

The impact of the Internet can be felt in a numbers of distinct ways. One is the newest phenomenon of the Internet (better known as Internet 3.0): social networking. Back in the pre-web days if you wanted to meet and talk with other collectors, you had to join a local coin club or, if you were lucky and lived in a town with a good coin shop, you met at the bid board on Saturday and talked coins with other interested locals. Now, it is reasonably easy to connect with fellow collectors and share information, buy and sell coins, talk about which dealers are good or bad, etc. I would expect that Facebook will become a much more important platform for coin collectors in the coming year.

As I mentioned above, the Internet has given collectors access to information that was formerly difficult to acquire. Pricing information from auctions is easier to source than ever before. A decade ago, the only place that compiled annual auction data was Krause Publications' annual auction prices realized book(s). These were expensive, not always complete and only provided a one-year window into specific series of coins. Today, sites such as Heritage.com and PCGS.com enable collectors to see 10 or even 20 years of auction results for a specific coin in a specific grade. This is critical information for determining what to pay for a coin or what to price a coin at when you are ready to sell. I would expect that better, more sophisticated coin pricing sites will be introduced in the coming years as well.

As recently as ten years ago, many dealers did not have a website and many of the ones that did featured clunky, slow moving sites. Today, coin websites are considerably more sophisticated and offer much better quality images and descriptions than before. The fact that collectors now feel comfortable enough to buy coins sight-unseen is a result of better technology (hello cable modems!) and it has greatly broadened the size and scope of the market.

One of the biggest changes we have seen in the last decade as a result of the Internet is a restructuring of the auction market. One coin auction firm responded better to technological advances in the last ten years and as a result they have basically decimated their competition. Ten years ago, the vast majority of coins sold at auction were purchased by dealers who were sitting in the room. Today, most lots sell to Internet bidders. Its a little unnerving for a new collector to walk into a coin auction and see it basically empty (with the notable exceptions being the FUN and ANA sales which still attract good crowds or very important specialized collections) but to be told that the auction is in fact a rousing success and that there are hundreds of active bidders participating.

I would expect that we will see similar changes with coin shows in the next ten years. I'm not certain we will have an actual "virtual bourse" but with coin dealers and collectors getting older, travel becoming harder and more expensive, and the number of shows simply too great to be sustainable, I'd think we'll see very different types of shows than what we have now and that they will be far more Internet-based.

How has the rise of the Internet changed the way that I do business? I can think of numerous ways in which it has and there are a few that stand out in particular. I have always sought to purchase pretty, high end coins but now a major consideration for me is if the coin is "photogenic." I might pass on a very dark or somewhat splotchy piece because it won't image well on my website and will be hard to sell as a result. It is very important for me to get my new purchases listed online as soon as I can after I return from a show. Instead of spending the weekend following a show relaxing and decompressing from an intense two or three days of trading coins, I know spend the next few days writing descriptions and having my new coins imaged.

The Internet has improved my cash-flow as it has sped up the amount of time it takes to sell a coin. In the pre-Internet days, I would create price lists and mail them out or put my new coins in print ads. The process would take weeks. Now, I put new coins on my website and often they are sold within hours and shipped within a day to their new owner. By the same token, it's made my concept of what's "fresh" change. I can have a coin on my website for thirty days and if it hasn't sold, it's no longer fresh and I have to rethink the pricing and selling process(es). The Internet has sped up the business cycle in ways which can be great but which can be a little scary as well.

I can foresee some exciting changes to the coin market as a result of the Internet. I would expect that dealer websites will become more interactive in the near future and that there will be more video and customization. If 3-D imaging ever becomes a reality, the inclusion of such images on coin website would be fantastic. I would expect there to be more social networking, more specialized auction sites and, as I mentioned above, more and better access to pricing.

I'd love to hear your input about the Web and its impact on your collecting habits in the past decade.

San Francisco Double Eagles: A Date by Date Analysis Part Two

The second part of this study on San Francisco double eagles deals with the Type Two issues struck from 1866 to 1876. There are no absolute rarities in this series as with the Type One issues but there are a number condition rarities as well as affordable dates that are easy to locate in Extremely Fine and About Uncirculated grades. Let's take a look at each date and focus on the higher grade coins as these tend to be the most interesting Type Two double eagles from this mint.

1866-S With Motto: After a small number of No Motto double eagles were struck in San Francisco in 1866, the change was made to the new With Motto design. The 1866-S With Motto is desirable as a first year of issue date but it is not really rare in terms of overall rarity. It tends to be found in lower grades (EF40 to AU50) and is nearly always seen with heavily abraded surfaces and poor eye appeal. It is scarce in properly graded AU55 to AU58 and rare in Uncirculated with an estimated two to three dozen known. It is extremely rare in MS62 above and none have been graded better than this by PCGS or NGC. The population figures in MS61 seem to be very inflated at both services and a few of the coins that I have seen in MS61 holders are marginal at best for the grade. The current auction record is $39,100 set by Bowers and Merena 7/06: 1667, graded MS62 by PCGS.

1867-S: The 1867-S is a bit more available than the 1866-S With Motto in terms of overall rarity. In Uncirculated it is actually more rare with an estimated 15 or so known. The finest is a single MS63 at NGC; another five or six are known in MS62. This date is typically seen with a flat strike, very "ticky" surfaces and poor luster. Examples with good eye appeal are quite hard to locate and are worth a good premium over typical coins. Properly graded AU55 to AU58 pieces are very scarce and any example that grades above MS61 is extremely rare. The current auction record is $22,425 set all the way back in 2002 by Superior during the ANA auction; this was for a coin graded MS62 that is still the best that I can recall having seen.

1868-S: The 1868-S is the most common Type Two double eagle from San Francisco struck during the 1860's. It is plentiful in grades below AU55 but it is scarce in properly graded AU58 and rare in Uncirculated. I think there are around three dozen known in Uncirculated with most in the MS60 to MS61. Above MS61, the 1868-S is extremely rare. The highest graded is a single MS64 at NGC; the services have combined to grade four in MS62 with just one of these at PCGS. This date comes better struck than the 1866-S and 1867-S and has better luster as well. Like all San Francisco double eagles of this type, it is plagued by excessive surface marks. The natural coloration is often a pleasing rose-gold; others are found with orange-gold or greenish-gold hues. The current auction record was set by Heritage 2006 ANA: 5644, an NGC MS62 that sold for $32,200.

1869-S: The 1869-S is just a touch less available than the 1868-S in circulated grades but it is more available in Uncirculated. There are as many as 50-75 known in Uncirculated with most in the MS60 to MS62 range. This date is extremely rare in MS63 and above although there are a few really nice MS64 pieces known. The population in MS64 is currently eight coins (five at PCGS and three at NGC) but this includes some resubmissions. Interestingly, the NGC population in MS64 declined from nine in November 2009 to its current three and this indicative of the fact that one coin has been resubmitted numerous times in an attempt to make the first MS65 of this date. The 1869-S tends to have better luster than the earlier Type Two SF issues but it is nearly always found with abraded surfaces. The current auction record is held by Heritage 2005 ANA: 10413, graded MS64 by PCGS, which brought $83,375.

1870-S: I regard the 1870-S as one of the real "sleeper" dates in the Type Two SF double eagle series. It is similar in rarity to the 1869-S in EF and mid-range AU grades but it becomes very scarce in properly graded AU58. It is quite rare in Uncirculated with around 40-50 known but nearly all are in the MS60 to MS61 range. In MS62, the 1870-S is extremely rare (I know of only two) and there is just one graded better than this, an MS63 at NGC. This date has decent luster and can be found with an acceptable strike but many of the higher grade pieces have been processed and nice, original coins with decent surfaces are rare. The current auction record is $33,350 which was acheived by Heritage 4/10: 2311. This coin, by the way, was the single best 1870-S double eagle that I have personally seen.

1871-S: In my experience the 1871-S is considerably more common than the 1869-S and 1870-S although the populations figures for the 1871-S are just a bit higher. It is readily available in EF and AU grades and it is much less rare in Uncirculated than the preceding Type Two issues from SF. There are around 75-100 known in Uncirculated and examples in MS60 to MS61 are reasonably priced and available from time to time. In MS62, the 1871-S is rare and it is extremely rare above this. PCGS and NGC have both graded a single example in MS64 while only four are recorded in MS63 (three at NGC and one at PCGS). This date is sometimes seen with semi-prooflike surfaces and it tends to be well struck by the standards of Type Two double eagles. Surface marks and lack of originality are always a problem with the 1871-S. The current auction record is Heritage 1998 ANA: 7856 which brought $32,200. It is graded MS64 by NGC.

1872-S: The 1872-S is generally lumped with the 1871-S but I think it is a harder coin to find in all grades and it is somewhat undervalued. It is a well-made issue with a good strike and nice luster but surface marks tend to be a problem and it is very hard to find choice. The 1872-S is seen from time to time in the lowest Mint State grades but it becomes very scarce in MS62 and it is extremely rare above this. PCGS has graded nothing higher than MS62 (and just four at this level) while NGC shows a single MS63 and MS64 as well as three in MS62. The current auction record is Stack's 9/09: 5570, graded MS62 by PCGS, that brought $12,075.

1873-S Open 3: There are two varieties of double eagle known for the 1873-S. The Open 3 is the rarer of the two. It is usually seen in the AU50 to AU55 range and it is scarce in the lower Uncirculated grades. It is very rare in MS62 and appears to be unknown above this. Most examples are a bit flatly struck and are almost always severely abraded. It is also very hard to find pieces with nice natural color. NGC and PCGS have combined to grade only seven in MS62 and the current auction record is $28,750 set by Heritage 9/09: 1818 (graded MS62 by PCGS) which is, by the way, the only certified MS62 1873-S Open 3 double eagle to have ever been sold at auction.

1873-S Closed 3: This is the more common of the two varieties. I regard it as around three times more common than the Open 3. It is easy to locate in all circulated grades and it is not especially scarce in MS60 to MS61. It becomes scarce in MS62 and it is extremely rare in MS63. The finest graded are a pair of MS63's at PCGS; NGC shows nothing better than a group of fifteen in MS62. The 1873-S Closed 3 is nearly always very heavily abraded. It tends to have better color and luster than its Open 3 counterpart but it is clearly an issue that was handled roughly with many coins transported loosely in bags. The current auction record is Stack's 6/97: 1583 which brought $15,400. I do not know the current location of this coin or what it grades by today's standards.

1874-S: The 1874-S is one of the more common Type Two double eagles from the SF mint but it is less available than the 1875-S and 1876-S. It is well struck and lustrous but most higher grade pieces show numerous marks on the surfaces that limit the grade. It is reasonably available in the lowest Mint State grades but it becomes very scarce in properly graded MS62 and it is quite rare in MS63. The combined PCGS/NGC population for this grade is just seven coins with none better and I do not recall having seen more than two or three in MS63 that I thought were choice. The current auction record is $18,975 for an NGC MS63 sold by Heritage in their 1998 ANA auction as Lot 7861. Remarkably, this is still the only certified MS63 to sell at auction.

1875-S: The 1875-S is the second most available San Francisco Type Two double eagle. It is very common in all circulated grades and plentiful in the MS60 to MS61 range. It is moderately scarce in MS62 and very scarce in properly graded MS63. In MS64 it is extremely rare with a current PCGS/NGC population of just six. There is just a single Gem known and it is a mind-boggling PCGS MS67 (it has been graded as such by NGC as well) that was originally ex Stack's 3/95: 715 where it brought $82,500 as a raw coin. It traded for more than five times this amount last year when it was sold by private treaty. It is the single finest known Type Two double eagle of any date or mint.

1876-S: This is easily the most common San Francisco Type Two double eagle and this makes it perfect for the type collector who is seeking a single high grade issue from this mint. It is very common in the lower Mint State grades and it can be found from time to time in properly graded MS63. It is very scarce in MS64 and extremely rare in Gem. PCGS has graded just one in MS65 while NGC has graded two. The current auction record is held by Heritage 1/10: 2257, graded MS65, that brought $207,000. This is an all-time record for any Type Two double eagle from this mint at auction; at least one coin has brought more via private treaty.

The Type Two double eagles from this mint are a short-lived set that contain no rarities. The set can be assembled in Uncirculated grades although a few of the issues are essentially unavailable above MS61 to MS62. These coins are currently somewhat out of favor and it seems like a good time for the savvy collector to consider working on a nice, evenly matched set of San Francisco Type Two double eagles.

Smart Collecting 101: Is It Ever Right to Buy the Wrong Coin?

In the first installment of Smart Collecting 101 I discussed the "coin churn" and how to avoid it. One reader made a great suggestion for the second topic and I'm going to discuss it at length here. The topic involves buying the "wrong" coin and if there is ever a right time to buy a coin that you clearly know is not optimal for your collection. The brief answer is yes. It depends on what sort of coins that you collect and what your ultimate goals as a coin collector are. Let's look at a few scenarios.

If you are a die variety collector there will probably be a number of instances that you'll be offered a coin that is a major rarity but which is either ugly or damaged or harshly cleaned or maybe even a combination of all three. But you may still have to buy the coin. Let's say you collect die varieties of early quarter eagles. There are a few varieties that are exceedingly rare and might literally be available once per decade; even once in a generation. In this case, if you aspire to have a truly complete collection, you'll buy whatever becomes available for the extreme rarities; even if the coin is damaged. And you'll probably be thrilled just to have the chance.

Let's say that you are a date collector and you are focusing on a series with major rarities in it. If the series that you are pursuing has some incredibly rare issues (say Fat Head half eagles) it certainly wouldn't be "wrong" to purchase a decent looking but cleaned example of a coin that you know might not be available again for years or which may exist in decent condition but which might be ungodly expensive if ever offered. My feeling here is that if you are someone who likes high grade coins you should avoid specializing in a series that has certain issues that almost never come in high grades.

This leads me to another scenario. Let's say you are a person who hates flatly struck coins. You have waited many years to fill a hole in your set and the date in question finally becomes available. The only problem with the coin, and let's say it's fairly decent in terms of overall quality, is that it is flat as a pancake at the centers. What should you do?

I'd suggest that you research the series and learn what percentage of the issue in question comes with this sort of strike. If every known example is weakly struck, then you just need to buy it. If some examples do exist with decent strikes, I'd say that you pass and wait for a sharper example.

There are some issues that are just so rare or so popular that I will compromise my standards and purchase problem coins now and then. As an example, if I saw a decent looking but cleaned 1870-CC eagle for sale I think I'd buy it; as long as it were priced fairly. It's rare, its in demand and its a cool first-year-of-issue. Plus I think its undervalued in comparison to other high profile Carson City issues. But I wouldn't buy most of the other CC eagles with problems. The reasons for this are simple: they would be hard to sell, they aren't in great demand and nice examples are available with enough frequency that the wrong coin makes no sense. I would take this even further with scarce but not overly rare issues. I'd be patient and wait for the exact coin I wanted.

My high degree of standards would also slacken on great rarities (notice I didn't say "expensive coins." I said "great rarities.") I would have no interest in a damaged ex-jewelry Stella but I would consider an 1864-S half eagle or an 1875 eagle if it were cleaned, very well worn or heavily abraded. In fact, these two issues are rare AND undervalued so I would probably not only buy one "wrong" example, I'd buy as many as I could find.

In the case of truly rare coins like the 1841 quarter eagle or the 1854-S quarter eagle, appearance is almost not an issue. Take the case of the 1854-S. There are around a dozen known with three of these actually being "nice." But in this case, "nice" means EF or AU. The others range from very heavily worn (the discovery coin, ex Eliasberg, is a Good 4) to "not as worn but very messed up from scratches or other non-mint damage." You don't get to be fussy with an 1854-S. You see one, you don't hate and you can afford it...you buy it.

Let's say you are one of those collectors who doesn't really have a super narrow focus and your strategy is "best available coin." You don't aspire to finish any series although you might have a preference for San Francisco half eagles or Philadelphia eagles. In such an instance there is really no reason to buy coins that are not right. If a specific issue is too expensive, just pretend it doesn't exist; you aren't completing a set of Liberty Head quarter eagles so don't sweat it if an ugly but rare 1842 Phildelphia becomes available. Sure, it's rare but another will come along and wouldn't you rather pay $8,000 for a really nice example than $3,000 for one that looks like it was gnawed on by numismatic rats?

The "best available" collector may just want to focus on branch mint issues that grade MS60 and above. This might eliminate a host of issues that do not exit in Uncircuated. It might take other issues that are exceedingly rare in Uncircuated and make "compromise coins" very important. Let say there is an issue like the 1859-S half eagle of which just two or three are known In Uncirculated. If the one nice Uncirculated example is sold (which it was, last year, by DWN) this leaves one or two marginal MS60 to MS61 coins in NGC holders that are the best out there. They may not be "new" in the strictest sense but are a good degree better than the coins that exist in AU55 or even AU 58 grades.

In series like the gold coinage from Charlotte, Dahlenega and New Orleans, there are very, very few coins that are rare enough or ones that come ugly enough that a major compromise must be made. The 1849-C Open Wreath dollar is extremely rare with just five known and I would be happy to own one of the two lower grade pieces at the right price. There is really no Dahlonega issue that is so rare that buying the wrong coin might be right although I'd lower my standards on the 1861-D dollar, the 1854-D three dollar and the 1861-D half eagle given their great demand. In the New Orleans eagle series, I would be willing to buy "wrong" examples of the 1841-O and 1883-O because they are relatively inexpensive and because even the "right" coins have eye appeal related problems. Two others that would cause me to compromise would be the 1854-O and 1856-O double eagles. Sure, I'd want my set to contain lovely Choice AU examples and if you have the $1,000,000 to $1,500,000 it will cost to purchase Condition Census or Finest Knowns of this pair than I'd say go for it. If you have budget constraints a lower grade coin or an example that is genuine but cleaned might make sense. But not for the more common 1857-O and 1858-O. Catch my drift?

So, in summary, I'd say that buying the right or the wrong coin is not necessarily set in stone but is, rather, dictated by the collectors needs and circumstances. Just remember that if you buy an expensive problem coin for your set at some point down the road you'll need to convince another collector that he, too, can't wait for the right coin and that he needs to pull the trigger on this "coin with an asterisk."